Look, Ingram's numbers since the All-Star break have been brutal: 16.5 points, 4.1 boards, 3.8 assists, shooting 41% from the field. He's been nursing that hamstring issue, and it's clearly affecting his burst. But New Orleans has a dream schedule coming up. Four games in Week 21 (March 17-23) against Portland, Charlotte, and two against San Antonio. Those are bottom-five defenses against small forwards. The Pelicans need him to get right for a playoff push, and they'll feed him against soft matchups. This is the definition of a buy-low for a guy who was dropping 24 and 5 before the injury. Get him now before he starts feasting.
Allen's blocks have vanished lately, averaging a dismal 0.6 over the last two weeks, down from his season average of 1.2. His minutes dipped to 26 against Boston last week, a red flag for some. Thing is, the Cavs just went through a brutal stretch of matchups against Jokic, Embiid, and Sabonis. Those guys are block-proof. Over the next two weeks, Cleveland plays Orlando twice, then Detroit, and Chicago. The Magic and Pistons are both top-10 in opponent points in the paint allowed. Expect Allen to get back to his double-double ways with a couple of swat parties. He’s been a top-20 big man all year, don't let a tough schedule fool you.
His shooting splits in February were hideous: 38% FG, 29% 3P. People are starting to panic, especially with his turnover numbers ticking up (4.2 per game last two weeks). But let's be real, the Pistons are awful. Everyone knows that. What's not awful is their upcoming schedule. They face Washington (twice), Houston, and Toronto in Week 22. The Wizards give up the most fantasy points to opposing point guards. Cunningham’s usage rate is still sky-high at 30.5%, and against these porous defenses, he's going to rack up stats even if the efficiency isn't elite. You're buying the volume and the matchups here.
He’s been quiet since his return from that calf strain. We're talking 13 points, 5 boards, and fewer than one block per game in his last five. The Celtics are easing him back, and his usage is down to 20%. But he’s fully healthy now, and Boston needs him firing for the playoffs. Their schedule features Indiana, Chicago, and two games against the Hornets in the next ten days. Charlotte ranks 29th in opponent shooting percentage at the rim. This is a prime spot for Porzingis to remind everyone he can still be a dominant interior force, especially in blocks and threes. His ownership feels a bit low for his ceiling.
Rozier’s production has been all over the map since joining Miami, and his assists have dried up (3.5 APG in his last seven). A lot of that has been Miami's slow pace and the difficulty of integrating into a new offense. But Jimmy Butler is back to missing games, and Bam Adebayo is still nursing that quad. Someone has to score. Miami has a back-to-back against the Blazers and Lakers, then two games against the Cavs next week. Both Portland and LA struggle to defend speedy guards. Rozier is due for a couple of 25-point outbursts. He’s got that “Scary Terry” playoff energy, and the Heat will unleash it soon.
Olynyk has been a revelation in Toronto, putting up 14 points, 7 boards, 4 assists, and a block over his last seven games. He’s shooting 55% from the field and 40% from three. His ownership has spiked. Here’s the deal: Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby are gone, but Jakob Poeltl is back from injury and soaking up minutes. Plus, the Raptors face the Nuggets, Thunder, and Magic in consecutive weeks. Those are some of the toughest defensive frontcourts in the league. Olynyk’s numbers are unsustainably high for a guy who typically hovers around 10-5-3. Sell him before the regression hits.
He’s been a fantasy darling recently, averaging 13 points, 9 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 stocks over his last ten games. His athleticism is undeniable. But Fred VanVleet is almost back from his knee injury, and Dillon Brooks isn't far behind. Thompson's usage rate (21%) and minutes (30 MPG) are inflated due to injuries. Once Houston is fully healthy, Thompson's role will shrink considerably. He’s a long-term keeper, but his immediate fantasy value is about to take a hit. Get something significant for him now before he settles back into a bench role.
With Butler and Adebayo out, Robinson has been on fire: 18 points, 3.5 threes, and surprising assists (3.0 APG) over the last two weeks. He’s hitting 48% from deep. This is classic Duncan Robinson in an expanded role. But Butler is back, and the Heat thrive on a more structured, defensive-minded offense. Robinson's production is directly tied to the absence of Miami’s stars. As they return and the rotation tightens for the playoff push, his shot attempts and playmaking opportunities will decrease dramatically. His ownership has jumped 20% in the last week – that's your window.
Saric has quietly put up 10 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 assists over his last five games, shooting 45% from three. He’s filling a void with Draymond Green and Kevon Looney both dealing with minor ailments. But the Warriors are desperate to climb out of the play-in tournament. They'll lean heavily on their established core, and Green will be playing heavy minutes once he’s fully healthy. Saric is a fine depth piece, but he doesn't have a consistent role in a healthy Warriors rotation. His recent surge is a mirage.
With Jamal Murray out with a calf strain, Jackson has stepped up admirably, averaging 15 points and 5 assists over his last five games. He even had a 28-point explosion against the Lakers. But Murray’s return is imminent, possibly within the next week. As soon as Murray is back, Jackson’s minutes plummet from 28-30 to a measly 12-15. He’s a veteran who can fill in, but he’s not a consistent fantasy asset when the Nuggets are at full strength. His recent output is a short-term gift.
Here’s my bold prediction: Kristaps Porzingis will finish the season as a top-3 center in blocks per game, overtaking Chet Holmgren by the end of April.